Prediction Reports

Hotspot rankings · Historical accuracy · SAPS verification status

1,847

Total Predictions

Last 30 days

1,349

SAPS Confirmed

73.1% confirmation rate

76.4%

Avg Confidence

+2.1% vs prior period

498

Missed Predictions

26.9% false negatives

Top Predicted Hotspots

May 25, 2026

Bloemfontein CBD

+8%

Drug-Related / Robbery

91%

incidents

Park Road District

+12%

Vehicle Theft

87%

incidents

Bloemspruit

+17%

Attempted Murder

83%

incidents

Welkom CBD

+12%

Robbery at Premises

72%

incidents

Botshabelo

±0%

Aggravated Robbery

68%

incidents

Thaba Nchu

-4%

Assault / Vandalism

61%

incidents

Mangaung Township

+6%

Common Robbery

58%

incidents

Langenhoven Park

-9%

Residential Burglary

42%

incidents

Prediction History

	Prediction ID		Crime Type	Risk			SAPS Status	Model
2026-05-25	pred-20260525-001	Bloemfontein CBD Mangaung Precinct	Drug-Related Crime	high	91%	34	confirmed	v2.4.1
2026-05-25	pred-20260525-002	Park Road District Northern Bloemfontein	Vehicle Theft	high	87%	22	confirmed	v2.4.1
2026-05-25	pred-20260525-003	Bloemspruit SE Bloemfontein	Attempted Murder	high	83%	18	predicted	v2.4.1
2026-05-24	pred-20260524-001	Welkom CBD Northern Free State	Robbery at Premises	medium	72%	19	confirmed	v2.4.1
2026-05-24	pred-20260524-002	Botshabelo Eastern Manguang	Aggravated Robbery	medium	68%	14	confirmed	v2.4.1
2026-05-24	pred-20260524-003	Thaba Nchu Eastern Manguang	Assault	medium	61%	9	unconfirmed	v2.4.1
2026-05-23	pred-20260523-001	Bloemfontein CBD Mangaung Precinct	Common Robbery	high	88%	29	confirmed	v2.4.0
2026-05-23	pred-20260523-002	Langenhoven Park Western Suburbs	Residential Burglary	low	42%	5	unconfirmed	v2.4.0

Showing 1–8 of 12 records