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Prediction Dashboard

Manguang Metropolitan Municipality · 7-day crime hotspot forecast

Live · Updated 2 min ago2026-05-25
7-Day Prediction Window

Viewing: TodayMay 25, 2026

High RiskMedium RiskLow Risk
+1 vs yesterday
3

High Risk Zones

Bloemfontein CBD, Bloemspruit, Park Road

±0 vs yesterday
7

Medium Risk Zones

Includes Welkom, Botshabelo, Thaba Nchu

-2 vs yesterday
12

Low Risk Zones

Suburban residential areas

Manguang Hotspot MapLIVE
N1N8Bloemfontein CBD91% confPark Road DistrictBloemspruitBotshabeloWelkomThaba NchuLangenhoven ParkUniversitasN
Bloemfontein CBD

Mangaung Precinct

Crime Type

Drug-Related / Robbery

Predicted

34 incidents

Confidence

91%
SAPS Data · Free State
Prediction Factors
Time of Day
31%

Night (22:00–02:00)

Historical Density
27%

749 drug cases (Q1)

Socioeconomic Index
19%

Gini: 0.63 (High)

Weather Conditions
12%

Clear · 12°C

Seasonal Trend
11%

+11.2% YoY Manguang

Model

Random Forest + LSTM Ensemble

F1: 0.74 · P: 0.71 · R: 0.77

Recent Alerts
Today

Bloemfontein CBD

Drug-Related Crime

13:24 SAST
91%

Park Road District

Vehicle Theft

12:57 SAST
87%

Welkom CBD

Robbery at Premises

11:40 SAST
72%

Bloemspruit

Attempted Murder

10:15 SAST
83%

Botshabelo

Aggravated Robbery

09:33 SAST
68%