Prediction Analytics
Model performance · Crime pattern analysis · Manguang Metropolitan Municipality
Q1 2026 · FY2025/26
+0.03
0.74
F1-Score
Primary model health indicator
+0.01
0.71
Precision
Of predicted hotspots, 71% confirmed
+0.04
0.77
Recall
77% of real crimes were predicted
-0.01
0.73
Accuracy
Overall zone classification accuracy
Predicted vs Actual Incidents
Daily incident count · Manguang Metro · Apr 26 – May 25, 2026
PredictedActual
Crime Type Distribution
Manguang Metro · Q1 2026 · 2,258 total incidents
Drug-Related
74933%
Vehicle Theft
41218%
Robbery
38817%
Assault
27612%
Burglary
2019%
Attempted Murder
894%
Vandalism
1436%
Hourly Crime Pattern
Average incident count by hour · All crime types · Manguang Metro
High (≥65)Med (≥40)Low
Peak hour: 22:00Quietest: 05:00Night surge: 19:00–02:00
Model Performance
Random Forest + LSTM Ensemble · v2.4.1
Recall77%
F1-Score74%
Accuracy73%
Precision71%
Run History
v2.4.1
2026-05-250.74v2.4.0
2026-05-180.71v2.3.2
2026-05-110.69v2.3.1
2026-04-280.67